Like a runway model changing
hats, HP announced some obvious but not-yet-significant changes to its look
in early March, promising to spin off its Test and Measurement business and
get a new CEO for its remaining computer operations sometime next year. HP
briefed stock market analysts first about its March 2 news that it would be
splitting giving the most cynical of customers some perspective
about why HPs $7.6 billion roots will be severed from its $47 billion
tree by next year. HP is restyling itself as a computing and imaging
company, a cosmetic realignment to bundle the rest of its business under.
Gone will be the instruments and components that Bill Hewlett and David
Packard founded the company on 60 years ago, along with chemical-analysis
and medical businesses. HPs announcement included promises that the
computing and imaging spinoff will make the companys computer
offerings better understood in the marketplace. HPs stock rose less
than $3 a share on the news although few were sure if the lift came
from seeing HP streamline itself or learning that Lew Platt will help find
a successor to his CEO post. By weeks end after the announcement, it
was trading about where it had begun, and hadnt recovered what it had
lost after the 1999 first quarter report.
Platt will not be missed by much
of the HP 3000 community when he departs in 2000. A veteran of HPs
Unix workstation business when the HP board named him as the fourth CEO in
company history, the leader oversaw a time of steep decline in HP 3000
fortunes and focus for Hewlett-Packard, a slide that accelerated after he
took over HPs reins. HPs business more than doubled in those
years, and its stock enjoyed a pair of two-for-one splits in the last few
years. HP achieved average profit increases of 46 percent a year from 1993
to 1997. But the companys willingness to feed live HP 3000 customers
into the ovens of its Unix jihad went unchecked at HPs highest levels
during the period, at least until Windows NT complicated HPs
Unix is good for everything message. Platts tenure was a
period that saw HP create a product with a datasheet advising customers how
to convert HP 3000 systems to HP 9000s a type of system switchover
never before or since available from HP for any other enterprise platform.
The HP 3000 business righted itself and grew in the last few years under
the guidance of general manager Harry Sterling, but only after NT clouded
the Unix-mania rampant in Platts earliest CEO years. Platts
departure will signal the complete elimination of an HP 3000 management
chain of command that guided MPE/iX into a secondary, supporting role
behind HP-UX for enterprise computing.
HPs fiscal performance may
have been the chief impetus in its early March hat trick. Stock market
analysts have been disturbed over the companys inability to continue
a meteoric revenue and earnings climb. Figures released for the first
quarter of fiscal 1999 could have provided the exit cue for Test and
Measurement as well as Platt. HP posted a $960 million profit for the 90
days ending Jan. 31, but even beating 1998s first quarter profits by
$41 million didnt please analysts. HP had bought back 3 million
shares of its own stock during the year, making the quarters 6 cent
per share improvement seem even smaller. The financial numbers for HP
operations drew further suspicion in the revenue columns, where sales were
up only 1 percent from 1998. Sales of the companys Unix servers fell
in the period, something the company explained away by saying customers are
waiting for a now-overdue line of new Unix systems later this year.
Stockholders sold down HPs shares more than 8 percent on the first
quarter report news, looking at things like a 2 percent sales decline in
the US and profits propped up by striking cost control measures. Overseas
sales now account for 57 percent of HPs revenues, so their modest 3
percent growth let HP escape an overall sales decline quarter to
quarter.
More than half of HPs
business today is in printers, scanners and printing supplies, and that
percentage will certainly increase once HP spins off the 16 percent of its
sales that werent related to computing. The slimmed-down HP will give
the HP 3000 Commercial Systems Division a larger relative revenue role in
the new company, but HP 3000 business remains smaller in sales than many
other groups and all of its enterprise-class computing choices. Profits
from the 3000 business are another matter, but its a well-known fact
that the computer brings in a greater percentage of profit than HPs
NT or Unix systems sold in highly-competitive, commodity style markets
where margins must be smaller. And the companys slowing pace on
profits has become more noticeable. The stock has under-performed the Dow
Jones average that its now part of, and although HP is growing, IBM
is growing its profits and revenues at a faster pace. IBM posted 74 percent
more sales than HP in 1998 but racked up 117 percent more profits
than HP. That spread makes a company strong, investors happy, and employees
well-compensated. On balance, it appears HP doesn't have the kind of
IBM-like size to try and perform in all the markets it is trying to embrace
especially the lower-profit ones like NT, Unix and yes, even
printers. Spinning off a test and measurement operation that was dropping
faster than even the Unix sales will simply aim the spotlight on HPs
challenges to manage a too-diverse product line.
The impact of other HP
reorganizations on the 3000 could be measured months after the
announcements, but this spinoff will require more than a year to make
itself felt. The divisions management chain remains intact aside from
the intention to replace Platt. Speculation on a successor embraced two
strategies: an existing HP vice presidents appointment (such as a
promotion for Ann Livermore, who heads up HPs enterprise server and
services businesses) or an outside candidate. Some analysts said that any
inside HP manager who might be picked for the CEO post would have already
been named. HP did name Ned Barnholt to head the new Test and Measurement
company. Platt joins HP Board members John B. Fery, Sam Ginn and Richard A.
Hackborn in a special committee that will conduct a search for a chief
executive officer for the new computing and imaging company. Platt, who
started HP down a path of examination by outside consultants last year to
fix its business stall, said an outsider would be more likely to ask
questions you hadnt thought of. We can think of one for the new
CEO: Whats so great about staying so deep in the commodity
computing business?
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