Quarter shows revenue growth, but Unix falls short of HP
goals
HP
posted a quarter that showed more than $1 billion in profits, met
earnings expectations, and announced a stock split for this fall. So
why are financial analysts complaining about the companys Unix
results?
Wall Street was upset at HPs spin regarding Unix
growth, a hard sell coming straight from the CEO. The latest HP
quarterly report showed a company reporting 15 percent more revenue
than its prior third quarter, pointing to market gains in its PC and
printer businesses which make up more than half of all HP profits.
But those strong summaries were overshadowed by CEO Carly
Fiorinas comments on HPs growth of its Unix business, a
spin one analyst called bullish while others
described other bull-like qualities.
The stock dropped 10 percent in the day following
Fiorinas telephone conference with security and financial
analysts, who questioned the CEO closely on the 13 percent growth
reported in Unix server sales for the period that ended July 31. HP
had predicted growth of at least 10 points higher for the period,
which led Fiorina to say its Unix business was up against a
tough compare for the prior period.
Sales of the low-cost Unix L-class servers were up for the
period, but the companys N-Class Unix server revenues were flat
for the quarter, and high-end system sales were down. Fiorina
downplayed the fact that the company fell short of its goals for
growing its Unix business. Analysts said IBM and Suns Unix
growth was 30 to 60 percent for the period.
The company also reported earnings of 99 cents per share
for the third quarter, but its totals included profits from favorable
currency exchanges and a better tax rate. What you are seeing
is very focused expense management, improved margins and very
targeted product marketing, Fiorina said in the conference
call. Any way you slice it, we beat estimates by a wide
margin.
Wall Street forecast profits for the company at 85 cents a
share. With the special items above discounted, some analysts said
HPs performance only beat the estimates by a few cents. And
while HPs sales growth against its Q3 1999 figures was 15
percent, it posted no revenue growth versus its Q2 in the US. Sales
dropped nine percent in Europe for the company in the third quarter
from FY 2000 second quarter revenues.
A
Bank of America research note published after the meeting with
analysts questioned whether HPs view of its business can be
believed in future reports.
The market will likely take a more skeptical view of
HPs 100 percent bullish approach to dealing with Wall Street
under the new CEO, said securities analyst Kurtis King.
Management came up short of some key guidance metrics in 3Q,
and in our view wasnt entirely credible in dealing with some of
the concerns that were raised on last nights conference
call.
In
more than 20 minutes of commentary on the companys performance,
Fiorina didnt make specific mention of the HP 3000 results for
the period. The systems results would be included in the
Computing Systems segment of HP business, which grew 12 percent in
revenue over the last fiscal years third quarter.
The company announced it will split its stock 2-for-1 on
October 27, the first split in four years for the company. It will
also divest itself of some software operations.